Nfl Season Win Totals

NFL season win totals are similar to a traditional OVER/UNDER bet except instead of betting on a single game, you’re betting on all 16 of them at once. For instance, a traditional totals bet involves you deciding if the total number of points scored by both teams will go OVER or UNDER the oddsmaker’s set number. For example, in the same season the line for the Arizona Cardinals was 9.5. The over was -170, and the under was +140. Please also note that season win totals are based only on the sixteen games played during the regular season. Postseason games are irrelevant for the purposes of these wagers. NFL Season Win Totals. September 07, 2020 - Brad Gagnon. Breaking down team win totals for 2020. You’re on the brink of the 2020 NFL regular season, which means you’re also running out of time to lock in the best NFL season win total odds before they’re altered.

• Nfl Odds Over Under Wins
• Nfl Season Win Totals 2021
• Nfl Season Win Totals 2019
• Nfl Season Win Totals 2021
• Nfl Regular Season Win Totals
• Nfl Season Win Totals

It was a rough 2016 NFL campaign for sportsbooks. The model of the gambling world being the great leveler and the 'against the spread' or 'ATS' records bringing the good and bad teams alike back to the middle never came to fruition.

In fact, just the opposite occurred.

The New England Patriots owned the best record in the league at 14-2 and, per Rob Nelson of ESPN Stats & Info, their 13-3 ATS mark (followed by a 3-0 ATS run in the playoffs) also was the best in the league -- a full two games better than any other team (the New Orleans Saints were 11-5 ATS). Despite their garnering huge spreads as underdogs, the books had a similar issue with the 1-15 Cleveland Browns, who finished tied for the league's second-worst ATS record at 5-11. These two teams paved the way for the public's success; the best team covered week after week while the worst consistently failed to hit its number.

The road to redemption has already begun with the release of the 2017 win totals, but as Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook manager Jeff Sherman explains, the public isn't yet backing its favorite teams.

'We have seen no large bets on typical public teams like the Packers, Steelers and Patriots, which is surprising and we don't expect that to continue,' he said. 'Those teams have huge fan bases and we always see support for them.'

So little action has come in on these three that not a single vig, or price you pay to take a line, of theirs has moved at all from its opening position.

So which NFL teams is the public betting so far this offseason?

Oakland Raiders

Opening line: 9.5 wins (over -110)
Current line: 9.5 wins (over -140)

The Westgate has had more action on the Raiders in terms of both total tickets and dollars wagered than any other team.

'We have taken large bets from the public on the Raiders over 9.5 which we were expecting ... We feel solid about the numbers we put up,' explains Sherman.

Perception is reality when you're a line originator, and because it wasn't willing to open them at an even 10 wins the Westgate knew the public would rush to bet the over. A $5,000 bet on the Silver and Black is the largest placed thus far.

So what's the reason for the love?

Could it be that over the past month residents and weekenders alike have stepped to the Vegas counters to back their newly acquired team to show their support? Sure.

More likely, though, is that the river of public money flows downstream based on whatever happened last, be it week to week during the season or based on last year's results in the offseason.

The Raiders were a solid contender until quarterback Derek Carr's brutal broken leg in Week 16 that ended his season. This action points to the public thinking that they'll sit atop the AFC West once more come January.

New York Jets

Opening line: 5 wins (under -110)
Current line: 5 wins (under -150)

The Westgate hasn't moved any team's line off its designated opening number, so the shift from -110 to -150 on the under 5 wins constitutes the biggest movement.

An exodus of veteran starters including WRs Brandon Marshall, C Nick Mangold and CB Darrelle Revis has led to the perception that this is a team beyond the limits of what can be considered a mere transition; this is a complete dismantling with the sole purpose of preparing for well beyond 2017.

That was before the release of LB David Harris and WR Eric Decker this past week, too.

With a roster in shambles and the likes of QBs Josh McCown, Bryce Petty and Christian Hackenberg competing for the starting role, the under is becoming more and more tempting.

If any line was going to move before training camp, this seems to be the one. Sherman explained that he 'could see it continue to some form of 4.5 down the road.'

Nfl Odds Over Under Wins

My pick: Browns under 4.5 wins

Opening line: 4.5 wins (under -110)
Current line: 4.5 wins (under -130)

Even with the vig sliding toward the under, I still think there's still value here. In each season since 2005 there have been at least four teams that have finished 4-12 or worse, and yet just as in years past, no team is handicapped at less than 4.5 wins.

Why has the number stayed at 4.5? These season-long under bets are hard to stomach both financially, from tying your money up for months at a time, and in terms of stress, from sweating the remaining schedule whenever said team does manage to win.

But that's why these low unders often have value -- multiple teams are going to be bad and few are willing to play the long game in trying to figure out which teams will fill that role.

Although the Browns traded up to select three players in the first round of this year's draft, I don't see any class making that immediate of an impact on a team that's only one year removed from a 1-15 record and allowing the third-most points against (452) while scoring the second fewest (264).

Signing quality starters C JC Tretter and G Kevin Zeitler should help to improve Cleveland, but I'm betting not enough to get to 5-11.

NFL Win Totals are one of the most popular future wagers and the odds for the upcoming 2020 regular season have been posted for all 32 teams.

The 2019 NFL campaign saw 10 teams post double-digit victories and six of those teams posted 12 wins while another four had 13 victories or more.

The two highest NFL win totals come from the AFC as the Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs are listed at 11.5 victories for the 2020 season. The Chiefs are coming off a 12-4 season in spite of star quarterback Patrick Mahomes missing two games due to injury.

Right next to Kansas City is the Baltimore Ravens, who won a league-best 14 games in 2019. The Ravens are currently listed at 11.5 wins for 2020 as Baltimore last won at least 11 games in back-to-back seasons in 2010 and 2011.

2020 NFL Contenders to Watch

• Kansas City Chiefs 11.5
• Baltimore Ravens 11.5
• San Francisco 49ers 10.5
• New Orleans Saints 10.5
• Dallas Cowboys 10
• Tampa Bay Buccaneers 9.5
• Seattle Seahawks 9.5
• Indianapolis Colts 9.5
• Philadelphia Eagles 9.5
• Pittsburgh Steelers 9.5

NFL Win Totals

Listed below are the 2020 NFL Win Totals in both Ascending and Alphabetical order.

Where to Bet 2020 NFL Win Totals

Largest Improvement to Largest Drop-Off

Expectations have jumped for a handful of teams in the NFL from a win total perspective. The largest leap is the Detroit Lions, who finished with a disappointing 3-12-1 record in 2019 as their win total is 6.5 this season. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have elevated expectations after Tom Brady signed with them in free agency as the Bucs have a win total of 9.5 following a 7-9 campaign.

The three teams that see a significant drop in their win total from last season compared to their 2019 record are all division champions. The Green Bay Packers posted a solid 13-3 record in 2019, but their 2020 NFL win total sits at only 9 for the upcoming campaign. The Ravens, as mentioned above, own a win total of 11.5, which is three fewer wins than the 14 they mustered last season, which was the best regular season in franchise history. The NFC champion San Francisco 49ers enter the season with a 10.5 win total after putting up 13 victories this past season.

Toughest and Weakest Divisions

The toughest division from a win total standpoint is the NFC West, in which the four teams have a combined 35.5 win total.

NFC West

San Francisco 49ers 10.5
Seattle Seahawks 9.5
Los Angeles Rams 8.5
Arizona Cardinals 7.5

Nfl Season Win Totals 2021

The weakest division is the AFC South, as the highest win total sits with the Indianapolis Colts and Tennessee Titans sitting at 9.5 at 8.5 wins respectively, while the Jacksonville Jaguars own one of the lowest win totals in the league at 4.5 victories.

Nfl Season Win Totals 2019

AFC South

Indianapolis Colts 9.5
Tennessee Titans 8.5
Houston Texans 7.5
Jacksonville Jaguars 4.5

Nfl Season Win Totals 2021

2020 Win Totals - Trends to Watch

Nfl Regular Season Win Totals

Nfl Season Win Totals

Updated Sun, Sept. 6, 5:15 PM ET - Consensus Odds Provided by VI - Subject to Change