Florida Derby 2018 Predictions
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The Florida Derby Stakes is part of the 2nd leg of the Kentucky Derby Prep Races with Promises Fulfilled the odds-on favorite at 3-1. 2018 Florida Derby Betting Odds Skip to main content. Sunday’s NBA Basketball Free Picks & Predictions 2/28/21 Jay Cooper - February 27, 2021 Charlotte at Sacramento - 10:05 ET Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings. Blog followers that made a two dollar wager on the exotics with my 2018 Florida Derby (G1) picks and honorable mention, Hofburg, could have potentially cashed in for a total of $823.20 with the exacta paying $50.80, the trifecta paid $309.40 and the superfecta paid $463.00.
Florida Derby-G1, Gulfstream Park
Race 14, Saturday, March 31, 2018
Distance: 1 1/8-miles. Surface: Dirt. Purse: $1.1 Million
2018 Florida Derby Picks
- 1. Catholic Boy
- 2. Audible
- 3. Hofburg
- 4. Storm Runner
Florida Derby Facts. FLORIDA DERBY FACTS Grade 1 $750,000 1 1/8 miles 3-year-olds Largest winning margin: Empire Maker (2003), 9 3/4 lengths Smallest winning margin: Six horses have won by a nose, the last Ice Box (2010) Fastest time: Gen. Duke (1957) 1:46 4/5 Largest win payoff: Williamstown Kid (1966) $183.60 Smallest win payoff: Spectacular Bid (1979) and Honest Pleasure. 2018 Florida Derby Odds & Entries Race 14 on Gulfstream Park's Saturday card with a Post Time of 6:36 PM U.S. Legal Online Wagering Audible, who pressed the pace before drawing off to 5 ½-length triumph in the 1 1/16-mile Holy Bull, fits the profile of many Florida Derby winners, said Pletcher.
Florida Derby Analysis
Audible is the obvious horse to beat in the 67th Florida Derby, but Catholic Boy could get a great trip at a better price and that makes him the play.
Audible got a dream trip under Javier Castellano to win the Holy Bull Stakes-G2 in his last at Gulfstream Park, but he looked powerful doing it and made hard knocker Free Drop Billy look ordinary. Hell get a rider switch to Hall of Famer John Velasquez today, as Castellano is away in Dubai, but that certainly wont hurt his chances. Audible faces tougher here, but he was running away from his field in his last and the extra eighth of a mile today doesnt look like it will be a problem.
Remsen-G1 winner Catholic Boy made his first start as a 3-year-old off a two-month layoff in the Sam F Davis-G3 at Tampa Bay Downs and was wide throughout before finishing a game but out-of-air second. He made the lead in early stretch in that race, but it looked like he needed the race in the last 200 yards. Like Audible, he should get good trip stalking a forced pace today under top jock Irad Ortiz Jr. who takes off Fountain of Youth-G2 winner and fellow Florida Derby entrant Promises Fulfilled to ride Catholic Boy today.
Ortiz gave out riding lessons aboard Promises Fulfilled in the Fountain of Youth. He stole the lead from inside speed Strike Power early and on the final turn he shut down an inside move from Storm Runner. Both Strike Power and Storm Runner are back for more today and Storm Power will get a rider switch to Tyler Gaffalione. Saez stays aboard Strike Power while Robbie Albarado takes over on Promises Fulfilled. Strike Power will probably have to go to the lead from the inside or compromise his chances again. Storm Runner deserves at least one more chance to redeem himself after being shut down in his last.
Mississippi is an interesting entrant at an attractive price. He comes off a neck loss to Storm Runner in his last and in his race previous to that he finished a close second behind subsequent Louisiana Derby-G2 winner Noble Indy. Hed likely need a dream trip to threaten in the Florida Derby Exacta, but he will be a price.
The last horse well mention is Hofburg. Trained by Hall of Famer Bill Mott and slated to be ridden by top jock Jose Ortiz, you have to wonder why hes in the race. Mott doesnt get stars in his eyes over the Triple Crown races like most trainers, and he doesnt run horses in these kinds of races unless he thinks they belong. Still, Irad Ortiz Jr. did take off this horse to ride Catholic Boy. Hofburg wasnt flashy breaking his maiden, but he obviously has some talent and should improve in this third lifetime start.
Once again this race sets up with Strike Power supposedly going to the lead from the inside under pressure from Promises Fulfilled and maybe even Mississippi. Right behind that group will be Storm Runner and Audible followed by Catholic Boy and Hofburg.
Audible and Storm Runner will likely make the first bids on the turn and if they get into a tussle with the Strike Power and Promises Fulfilled the race should set up perfectly for Catholic Boy, with Hofburg as our longshot rallier.
Catholic Boy is the pick to win and place, on top of Audible and Hofburg in the Exacta. Well reverse the exacta for half the amount and take those three to the board in the Florida Derby Superfecta.
Strong’s Pick: Take em to church Catholic Boy!
Florida Derby Draw: Tiz the Law 6-5 Favorite in 12-Horse Field…
And it’s on with the races at Gulfstream Park.
As racing for the week began Wednesday (March 25), track officials conducted the post-position draw for Saturday’s $750,000 Florida Derby (G1), the signature race of the meet that many times produces the favorite for the Kentucky Derby (G1).
Tiz the Law the Holy Bull -Photo credit: Ryan Thompson
Tiz the Law, considered among the top 3-year-olds and a leading contender for the Derby – postponed from May 2 to Sept. 5 – was installed as the 6-5 morning-line favorite in a 12-horse field for one of three remaining scheduled Derby points qualifying races.
Continued live horse racing, plus the draw, is taking place despite a Broward County ban on conducting non-essential business amid the coronavirus pandemic, and a request to close the track by the city of Hallandale Beach, where the track is located. The Stronach Group, which owns the track, has threatened legal action if the track is shut down, according to a report in the South Florida Sun-Sentinel report.
Owned by Sackatoga Stable, Tiz the Law comes into the 1 1/8-mile Florida Derby off a solid workout last weekend at Palm Meadows training center, breezing 5 furlongs in 1:02.65. The Holy Bull Stakes (G3) winner trained by Barclay Tagg drew the No. 7 post and will be ridden by Manny Franco.
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Back for a rematch is Ete Indien, who romped to victory in the Fountain of Youth Stakes (G2) on Feb. 29 after finishing second to Tiz the Law by three lengths in the Holy Bull on Feb. 1. Ete Indien, with Florent Geroux riding, drew the outside No. 12 post (let it be recalled Ete Indien won the Fountain of Youth leaving from the outside post).
| Horse | Odds |
|---|---|
| 1. As Seen On TV | 12/1 |
| 2. Shivaree | 30/1 |
| 3. Disc Jockey | 20/1 |
| 4. Soros | 30/1 |
| 5. Gouverneur Morris | 8/1 |
| 6. Ajaweed | 20/1 |
| 7. Tiz the Law | 6/5 |
| 8. My First Grammy | 50/1 |
| 9. Independence Hall | 9/2 |
| 10. Candy Tycoon | 20/1 |
| 11. Sassy But Smart | 50/1 |
| 12. Ete Indien | 4/1 |
After the Florida Derby, there are two remaining Derby qualifiers – the Santa Anita Derby (April 4) and the Arkansas Derby (rescheduled to May 2 from April 11).
The Wood Memorial at Aqueduct was officially canceled on Wednesday (March 25) as was the rest of the meet. Previous Derby prep cancellations
include the UAE Derby, the Blue Grass Stakes, the Lexington Stakes and the Sunland Derby.
Florida Derby 2018 Predictions 2019
There’s no telling what could happen next on the road to a rescheduled Derby, much of which will be determined based on the status of the coronavirus pandemic.
Ete Indien, trained by Patrick Biancone, is currently fourth on the Derby leaderboard with 54 points (likely enough to make the Derby field limited to 20 starters), with Tiz the Law 14th with 22 points. Candy Tycoon has 20 points (No. 18), Independence Hall 14 (No. 21), As Seen On TV 10 (No. 32), Ajaweed 7 (No. 36), and Gouverneur Morris 4 (No. 46).
Among the reasons for running on Saturday, even though the race was the target for months, is “we want to get our points and then not have to worry about (qualifying for the Derby), and hopefully keep him healthy and sound so we’re able to actually run the race on the first Saturday in September,” said Jack Knowlton, managing partner of Sackatoga Stable.
For Ete Indien, the hope is he will continue to improve the way he has been doing up until now.
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“The horse keeps improving from race to race,” Biancone said. “Hopefully, he’ll keep improving and we should have a really good horse in the summer.”
The Florida Derby has produced 24 Kentucky Derby winners. In fact , six Florida Derby winners from 2001-2019 have gone to win the Kentucky Derby, most recently, Always Dreaming in 2017.
Florida Derby 2018 Predictions Stanley Cup
The 69th running of the Florida Derby highlights a program with 10 stakes, six of them graded. Spectators are not allowed at the track, but wagering is available at multiple online betting sites.
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